MLB - Fantasy Baseball - Starting Pitcher Tuesday Notes
Starting Pitcher Daily Notes: Tuesday, April 30
|1||Justin Verlander||DET||R||vs MIN||2-2||1.95||1.24|
|2||Jon Lester||BOS||L||at TOR||4-0||2.27||1.11|
|3||Yu Darvish||TEX||R||vs CWS||4-1||1.65||0.80|
|4||Madison Bumgarner||SF||L||at ARI||3-0||1.87||0.89|
|5||Tim Hudson||ATL||R||vs WSH||2-1||4.50||1.32|
|6||Gio Gonzalez||WSH||L||at ATL||2-1||4.50||1.14|
|7||Alex Cobb||TB||R||at KC||3-1||1.82||1.04|
|8||Hiroki Kuroda||NYY||R||vs HOU||3-1||2.79||1.03|
|9||James Shields||KC||R||vs TB||1-2||3.09||1.09|
|10||Jaime Garcia||STL||L||vs CIN||2-1||2.89||1.43|
|11||Marco Estrada||MIL||R||vs PIT||2-1||3.86||1.29|
|12||Jose Quintana||CWS||L||at TEX||2-0||2.78||1.06|
|13||Trevor Cahill||ARI||R||vs SF||1-3||3.00||1.23|
|14||Hyun-Jin Ryu||LAD||L||vs COL||2-1||3.41||1.20|
|15||James McDonald||PIT||R||at MIL||2-2||4.38||1.46|
|16||Jorge De La Rosa||COL||L||at LAD||2-2||2.86||1.16|
|17||Brandon Morrow||TOR||R||vs BOS||0-2||5.27||1.54|
|18||Roy Halladay||PHI||R||at CLE||2-2||5.08||1.09|
|19||Jason Hammel||BAL||R||at SEA||3-1||3.82||1.14|
|20||Kevin Slowey||MIA||R||vs NYM||0-2||2.43||1.15|
|21||Edwin Jackson||CHC||R||vs SD||0-3||4.76||1.41|
|22||Bronson Arroyo||CIN||R||at STL||2-2||4.24||1.09|
|23||Zach McAllister||CLE||R||vs PHI||1-3||3.52||1.30|
|24||Garrett Richards||LAA||R||at OAK||1-1||3.65||0.93|
|25||Jeremy Hefner||NYM||R||at MIA||0-2||5.14||1.48|
|26||Edinson Volquez||SD||R||at CHC||1-3||6.39||1.74|
|27||Jarrod Parker||OAK||R||vs LAA||0-4||8.10||2.14|
|28||Brandon Maurer||SEA||R||vs BAL||2-3||5.61||1.36|
|29||Vance Worley||MIN||R||at DET||0-3||6.38||1.83|
|30||Philip Humber||HOU||R||at NYY||0-5||7.99||1.82|
- Streamer of the Day - Kevin Slowey - Owned in 6% of Yahoo! Leagues
Kevin Slowey has turned in five quality starts this season and is a solid bet to come away with a win today, facing the New York Mets for the first time this season. Slowey will be going up against Mets starter Jeremy Hefner, who is 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA in five starts this season. These two teams exhausted their bullpens, going 15 innings yesterday, so expect both starters to try to go deep into this game today.
Yesterday's Streamer of the Day: Ted Lilly - L, 3.0 IP, 8 H, 5 R, 4 ER, 2 BB and 2 K
2013 Streamer Quality Start Record: 16-6
Saturday's Streamer of the Day - David Phelps - Owned in 5% of Yahoo! Leagues
What Happened Last Night: These are the dangers of streaming pitchers. When you expose yourself to wavier wire level talent on a daily basis, streaming starting pitchers, you are prone to the occasional implosion. I made a horrendous call recommending Ted Lilly as our FFToolbox Streamer of the Day yesterday and accept full responsibility for it. Lilly had every advantage in the world on paper coming into the matchup. The Rockies were without Troy Tulowitzski and had dropped six of their last eight games. Lilly was coming off five shutout innings in his last start and was 10-2, having won four straight, against the Rockies. I guess that's why they don't play the games on paper.
Lilly served up a pair of home runs in the first inning, a three-run shot by Wilin Rosario the big blast, and lasted just three innings. This is a prime example of why statistics and trends can be misleading sometimes. Despite all of the numbers favoring Lilly, he was making just his second big league start in nearly a year, facing a very aggressive lineup that was desperate for a bounce-back effort offensively. If I had ignored the history and looked purely at the matchup, I would have seen the implosion coming. Lesson learned.
Speaking of unlikely, how about what happened in the Bronx yesterday? I didn't see the game, but the box score is ugly for Andy Pettitte who surrendered seven earned runs on 10 hits in just 4.1 innings against the Houston Astros. Pettitte had turned in four straight quality starts prior to yesterday's implosion, so hopefully this is just a blip on the radar.
Five words you never want to hear as a fantasy owner: Stephen Strasburg experiencing forearm tightness. According to numerous reports, Strasburg will not miss his next start, but it is never a good sign when a pitcher like Strasburg who has already undergone Tommy John surgery is experiencing pain in April. It's bad for fantasy and baseball in general when Strasburg isn't pitching, so hopefully this isn't a major issue, but it is worth monitoring.
Max Scherzer continues to rack up the strikeouts. Scherzer whiffed 10 Twins without issuing a walk and outlasted Mike Pelfrey to improve to 3-0 this season.
Neither Matt Harvey nor Jose Fernandez lasted long enough to pick up a win in the 15-inning affair between the Mets and Marlins. Harvey went five and one third, giving up just one run while striking out seven. Fernandez was not as sharp, lasting just four innings giving up two runs while walking three and striking out four. We will be talking about both of these pitchers for years to come, but they didn't exactly blow anyone away yesterday.
You know it's a bizarre fantasy day when Ubaldo Jimenez turns in seven shutout innings to pick up his first win since August 9th of last season, his first win in 12 starts. Wade Davis of the Kansas City Royals was rocked for eight runs on 12 hits taking the loss against Cleveland.
Today's Lineup Card: Aces Justin Verlander, Jon Lester and Yu Darvish headline today's FFToolbox starting pitcher ranking and will likely be in the conversation for the A.L. Cy Young award when it is all said and done. Verlander would have been in the running regardless, but with their early season performance, both Lester and Darvish have made the jump into the elite must-start, matchup-proof class of fantasy pitchers. Aside from the big three, there are plenty of quality options today, but plenty of pitchers to avoid today if possible.
Gio Gonzalez was lit up for seven earned runs over five innings in his last start against the Atlanta Braves on April 14th, his opponent, Tim Hudson, went seven strong against the offensively challenged Nationals in his only start against them earlier this month. Obviously fantasy owners should trust Gonzalez no matter what, but it is worth noting that he is 2-3 with a 6.08 ERA in five career starts against the Braves.
If possible, it may be a good idea to sit James McDonald against the Milwaukee Brewers today. After Wandy Rodriguez took a beating last night, McDonald won't fare any better if history is any indication. McDonald is 1-3 with a 6.98 ERA in five career starts against the Brewers. Conversely, Brewers starter Marco Estrada is 3-0 with a 1.43 ERA in five starts against Pittsburgh.
Trevor Cahill has had success against the San Francisco Giants in his career (4-2 with a 2.76 ERA in seven career starts) but has a tough draw today taking on Madison Bumgarner, which limits his upside, and potential for a win. I would still trust Cahill but don't expect a win.
The Colorado Rockies shelled the Los Angeles Dodgers last night, but don't expect a repeat today. Rockies starter Jorge De La Rosa has never beat the Dodgers (0-7, 6.22 ERA) in nine career starts, which makes him an obvious sit candidate today.
Another obvious sit candidate today is Brandon Morrow against the Boston Red Sox. Morrow has never fared well against the Red Sox in his career (1-3 with an 8.28 ERA) for some reason the Sox have always had his number. Don't expect that to change with his former manager John Farrell now in the Red Sox dugout.
Hiroki Kuroda is the FFToolbox lock of the day for a victory, taking on the Houston Astros at home. The Yankees will be eager to bounce-back from a blowout loss yesterday and should be able to tee off against Astros starter Philip Humber, who has given up at least seven runs in each of his last two starts.
An iconic starter in Tampa Bay for years, James Shields will face his former team for the first time in his career today. The fact that he will be facing Alex Cobb, who has looked great this season, makes this the most intriguing pitching matchup of the day.
The starting pitcher rankings and analysis above are all my opinions, use your best judgment when it comes to setting your lineup, its your team after all. If you have a fantasy baseball question or comment, feel free to follow me on Twitter @GeorgeBissell.