|By Chris Weeks, Saturday, June 15, 2013|
QB Ryan Tannehill - Dynasty Only
The converted wide receiver now NFL starting quarterback had a less than stellar rookie campaign in 2012. In 15 games Ryan threw for just under 3,300 yards with 12 touchdowns, while yielding 13 interceptions. By no stretch would fantasy owners want numbers like these from their starting quarterback. Even with the addition of Mike Wallace, the Dolphins' receiving corp will struggle this year. Tannehill is still a project in the works and while some believe he will become a good NFL quarterback, we wonder just how long that will take. Until we see some consistent play from Ryan, it is best to find a better option come draft day.
QB Matt Moore - Low Potential
There were rumors Moore would sign a new contact elsewhere and become a starting quarterback for another team this season, but those were nothing more than rumors. When the dust settled, Moore resigned with the Dolphins and will once again backup Ryan Tannehill. With so much invested in Tannehill, it would take an injury to Ryan for Moore to see playing time this season. Even if he does make it on the field, there are plenty of better options for fantasy owners. There is no reason for anyone to want Moore on their roster at the start of this season.
RB Lamar Miller - Quality Backup
With the departure of Reggie Bush, the door opens for Lamar Miller to step in and become the Dolphins' number one back. If nothing else, Miller should win the job because he is the healthiest non rookie back on the roster. If you're looking for a starting back as a second of third option then Lamar is a good choice. He's not going to post great fantasy numbers, but he should hit the 70-90 yard mark with an occassional touchdown. One item of note for owners looking at Miller would be to keep an eye on Daniel Thomas and Mike Gillislee, because if their playing time increases Miller's time may be ending soon.
RB Daniel Thomas - Gamble (high risk)
When Reggie Bush signed with Detroit this winter, Thomas had to be excited about the opportunity this presents him. With a solid pre-season performance, Thomas could be named the Dolphins' week one starter. This assumes his knee holds out, he doesn't sustain a concussion, and he holds on to the rock (and of course that the Dolphins don't cut Thomas at some point this summer). With all this uncertainty surrounding Daniel, it is probably best for fantasy owners to keep away until all the dust settles.
WR Mike Wallace - Gamble (high risk)
We all know Wallace went to Miami, but what we don't understand is why he went to Miami? The Dolphins have a very limited run game and a quarterback who has played a total of 34 games under center in his lifetime. We feel pretty much the same way as most do about Wallace's fantasy value this season: a few games he'll score a ton and in the rest he'll do little. If you're an all or nothing owner then Mike is your man. I'm not sure that will win you a championship, so you may want to reserve Wallace's time in your starting lineup for the right matchup. As a number one receiver Wallace has value, but just how valuable is yet to be seen with so much uncertainty under center and in the backfield.
WR Brian Hartline - Bye Week Fill-in
From time to time Hartline will go nuts (see week 4 last season), but performances like that are few and far between. Most weeks Brian will score you 5-7 points, so unless you're looking for a bye week fill-in there's just not enough value here. We'd like to see more from Hartline, but the fact remains there are too many uncertainties surrounding Tannehill and the run game for anyone to feel comfortable starting Hartline on a weekly basis.
WR Brandon Gibson - Low Potential
Gibson had the best season of his 4 year career last year pulling in 51 receptions for 691 yards and scoring 5 touchdowns. All of this was while playing with Sam Bradford and the St. Louis Rams. Now in Miami, Gibson will need to learn a new offense and adjust to playing with a new quarterback. Brandon has the skills to take over the number two role, but his lack of familiarity with the offense will likely set him back as the season begins. Until we see some on the field consistency, it is best to hold off on drafting Gibson.
WR Armon Binns - Not Draft Worthy
In his rookie season, Binns pulled in 24 receptions for 277 yards with one touchdown while playing in 11 games for the Bengals and Dolphins. With numbers like these, fantasy owners need to stay as far away as possible. Unless someone ahead of Binns suffers a season ending injury, there is little value to be had here.
TE Dustin Keller - Sleeper (undervalued)
One thing Miami did right this season was pick up free agent Dustin Keller. Not only did they prevent their division rival New York Jets from resigning him, but they added a nice offensive weapon to replace Anthony Fasano. Keller is a nice over the middle threat that could find himself in the end zone 8-10 times this season. In addition, Keller should make a nice outlet for Tannehill when he's struggling to move the ball down field. The potential for a very good season is there, we just need to see how often Dustin will be used in the offense.
PK Dan Carpenter - Bye Week Fill-in
Carpenter may be listed as the Dolphins' number one receiver, but that could easily change come week one. Dan has a pretty hefty salary and his lack of production on the field is not helping his cause. Couple this with Miami's decision to draft Caleb Sturgis and one could infer Carpenter's days in Miami are numbered. No matter if it is Carpenter or Sturgis, the Dolphins' offense needs to move the ball into scoring range for these guys to be useful. Until we see just how well Miami's offense moves the ball this season, it may be best to look elsewhere for a starting kicker.
Miami Defense - Deep-league Only
With so many questions surrounding Miami's offense, this defense could find itself on the field way too much this season. While this could mean sacks and turn overs galore, it more likely means points allowed and few points for fantasy owners. With 20+ defenses ranked ahead of Miami, it is probably best to look at one of them to begin the season.