|By Chris Weeks, Saturday, June 15, 2013|
QB Matt Schaub - Solid/Safe Pick
There was once a time when Schaub was on every fantasy owner's rader. That time ended a couple of years ago when the Texans became a run, run and run it again offense. Schaub's numbers haven't been awful, but with the Texans' run focused offense it is hard for us to imagine him being top 5 quarterback quality.
QB T.J. Yates - Low Potential
When Schaub went down two years ago, Yates (then a rookie) was called upon to lead the Texans offense. While his efforts on the field were good enough to lead the Texans to victory, they did little to help fantasy owners. While Schaub has been injury prone throughout his career, it would be better to snag a starter from another team than snag Yates as your fantasy backup.
RB Arian Foster - Stud (low risk)
At age 26, Foster is in the prime of his NFL career. In just 4 years we'll be looking for declining numbers and he'll slip from first in our drafts to 10th. For the time being Forster is healthy, in his mid 20s and playing in a run happy offense. There is little reason to believe he will not be one of the league's top 5 backs again this season.
RB Ben Tate - Fantasy Handcuff
If we've said it once, we've said it 100 times: the Texans like to run the ball and run it they will. In their current setup, Tate spells Foster on third downs and picks up a few carries in garbage time. When given the opportunity, Tate performs well. Should Foster miss significant time, Tate would step into this run heavy offense and post very good fantasy numbers.
RB Greg Jones - Low Potential
Currently, Jones (the Texans' top FB) is listed as the team's third running back option. For the time being this may be the case, but come week one we expect this to change. The Texans have 3 rookie backs on the roster and one of them will likely win the job as Tate's backup. Unless something happens to both Foster and Tate causing them both to miss valuable time, we don't feel there's much value this far down on the depth chart.
WR Andre Johnson - Stud (low risk)
Johnson has been an elite receiver in the NFL ever since joining the league 11 years ago. With a solid run game and quality weapons at the tight end (and oppoite receiver position), we believe Johnson is due for another solid season this year. The only thing that is going to prevent Andre for posting top 5 numbers is an injury costing him significant playing time.
WR Lestar Jean - Not Draft Worthy
With just six regular season receptions under his belt, Lester has done very little to excite football fans (let alone fantasy owners). While there's an outside chance Lestar could take the #2 role from Hopkins, it is just that...an outside chance. Lestar had an opportunity last season to show what he could do and all he showed us was nothing. There is no reason for fantasy owners to draft Lestar.
WR DeVier Posey - Not Draft Worthy
When last year began, we thought Posey might have a chance to win the starting job in Houston. We all know that didn't happen and when the season ended Posey wound up playing in just 11 games, making 6 receptions for 87 yards. Unless Posey has done something in the off season to drastically change the coach's opinions, there's little reason for fantasy owners to be interested in DeVier.
WR Keshawn Martin - Not Draft Worthy
In his rookie year (2012), Martin played in all 16 games pulling down just 10 receptions for 85 yards, with one resulting in a touchdown. Typical numbers we expect to see from rookie receivers. Usually it takes until year three for receivers to fully grasp how to play the position in the NFL. Of course there are exceptions to this rule, but Martin is not one. Unless you're in a very large league and hoping to find a diamond in the rough, it is probably best to stay away from Keshawn in this year's draft.
TE Owen Daniels - Solid/Safe Pick
Even with all the injuries, Daniels still managed to finish the 2012-13 season as a top 10 tight end. Daniels is a nice large target for Schaub's over the middle pass attack offense. That is of course when the Texans throw the ball. Owen's offensive production is only limited by the number opportunities he receives. It is likely Daniels won't be a top 5 receiver, but there's no reason to believe he won't finish in the top 10 again this season.
Houston Defense - Solid/Safe Pick
The Texans' defense should be one of the league's top 5 defenses this season. This is if everyone can stay healthy. Defensive end JJ Watt is a nightmare for opposing offenses to defend against. Couple this with a high scoring offense and this defense is prime for sacks and turn over's O'plenty.