2012 Team Outlook: Tennessee
QB Matt Hasselbeck, --- - Over the Hill (decreased production)
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The soon to be 37-year old signal caller struggled down the stretch as he had just 5TDs and 8 INTs over the Titans' final eight games in 2011. His first year in Tennessee ended with the 13 year old vet averaging 223 YPG with 18 TDs and 14 INTs. Hasselbeck has missed 13 games over the past 4 seasons and is nothing more than a lower end QB2 with minimal upside potential that has Jake Locker waiting in the wings.
UPDATE: For now this appears to be an open competition entering training camp, but a difficult early season schedule (NE, SD, DET, HOU) could lead the coaching staff to favor veteran Hasselbeck over Locker in September.
QB Jake Locker, --- - Sleeper (undervalued)
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Locker was selected as the 8th overall pick in 2011 as the Titans became enamored with the big arm/mobility of the University of Washington alum (despite accuracy concerns). Head coach Mike Munchak has proclaimed the QB job an open competition, but the Titans would be wise to look to the future. Locker completed 34-of-66 passes (51%) in 2011 for 542 yards, with four touchdowns and no interceptions. His mobility is an added bonus, but Locker still must improve his accuracy to succeed as a starter. He's a low end QB2 provided he wins the starting job (as the addition of rookie WR Kendall Wright paired with Kenny Britt gives the Titans two legitimate WR weapons to work with RB Chris Johnson).
RB Jamie Harper, --- - Fantasy Handcuff
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The 4th round pick out of Clemson didn't have much production in his rookie season as he finished with just 44 yards and one touchdown on 17 carries. Harper was listed as 3rd on the depth chart for most of the season behind Chris Johnson and Javon Ringer, but he does possess above average receiving skills and solid pass blocking abilities that could translate into him becoming a third-down back. Keep an eye on training camp reports as he very well could surpass Javon Ringer as the CJ2K handcuff to own in 2012.
RB Chris Johnson, --- - Stud (low risk)
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Two years removed from his record setting 2009 season (2006 yards rushing with 16 total TDs), CJ2K was one of the bigger busts of the 2011 season as he finished with just 4 TDs while averaging only 65 YPG. He posted the fastest time at the combine (4.24 in 2008), but the rigors of the NFL appear to have sapped some his playmaking ability (offseason conditioning has also been questioned). Johnson's yards-per-carry average was 4.97 in his first three seasons, but regressed to 4.00 in 2011. Now might be the time to buy low if CJ slips to the end of round 2 / early round 3 as the 26 year old still has the upside potential to become an elite RB1 (especially in PPR leagues) as he topped 40 catches in each of his first four seasons.
UPDATE: Reports from OTAs suggest that CJ2K is in much better shape (added some bulk - close to 200 pounds after playing last season around 190). A rebound season could be in the cards in 2012.
RB Javon Ringer, --- - Fantasy Handcuff
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Ringer struggled mightily in 2011 and is entering a contract year in 2012. He'll compete with second-year RB Jamie Harper to be the #2 RB on the Titans' depth chart. Ringer's third season ended in week 13 (hand injury) and he failed to impress with just 59 carries (paltry 3.1 YPC). He's yet to top 240 yards in any of his first 3 NFL seasons and appears destined to be a career backup. Ringer is worth a late round pick as a handcuff, but Jamie Harper could surpass him in training camp.
WR Kenny Britt, --- - Gamble (high risk)
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The 23 year old WR from Rutgers was showing signs of a true breakout year in 2011 (3rd NFL season) after totaling 271 yards and 3 TDs in his first two games, but a torn ACL in week 3 knocked him out for the remainder of the season. In 2010 (12 games), he averaged 65 YPG with nine touchdowns. Britt is a world class talent as well as a world class idiot (numerous arrests for drag racing, marijuana etc.). Provided he can avoid a jail cell and the recovery goes as planned, Britt could be a borderline WR1 /solid WR2 on draft day.
UPDATE: Britt underwent a minor knee surgery in June to remove a clicking in his knee. He will be eased back into action and the Titans' hope is to have him on the field for one of the final preseason games. Britt has reported confidence that he'll be ready for week 1, but that remains to be seen.
WR Kendall Wright, --- - Sleeper (undervalued)
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The Titans bolstered their passing offense by using the 20th overall pick on Baylor's Kendall Wright. In 2011, Wright set a Baylor school record for all-purpose yards (1,657) – 1,572 receiving, 46 rushing, and 39 returning punts. He also topped 100 yards 9 times in his senior season. The 5'10, 190 pounder will likely man the slot for the Titans and his game breaking ability makes him worth considering as a lower end WR3 / WR4 worth a flier after the first 10-12 rounds of fantasy drafts.
WR Lavelle Hawkins, --- - Deep-league Only
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Hawkins received a new three-year deal worth $7.2 million this offseason. With the selection of Kendall Wright, Hawkins won't be anything more than the Titans' #4 WR and is not a fantasy option (barring injuries). The Cal alum made just 19 catches in three seasons coming into 2011. Last season (with Kenny Britt sidelined) he posted career bests, but still finished with 47 catches for 470 yards and one touchdown.
WR Nate Washington, --- - Bust (overvalued)
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The former Pittsburgh Steeler signed a 6-year $27 million contract back in 2009 and his 2011 production more than justified the pay day. The 28 year old WR set career highs in catches (74), yards (1,023), and TD (7) as he became the default No. 1 receiver role after Kenny Britt's torn ACL in week 3. With the draft selection of Kendall Wright and expected return of Britt, Washington is a candidate to be overvalued this season as he's likely to see a major decrease in production with less targets in 2012.
WR Damian Williams, --- - Super Sleeper (high risk/potential)
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The 2nd year WR from USC (3rd round pick in 2010) saw an increase in playing time after Kenny Britt's season ended in week 3. His production was inconsistent at best as Williams finished the 2011 season with 45 catches for 582 yards (40 YPG) and five TDs. Following the selection of Kendall Wright, the Titans' passing offense is getting crowded. Williams, Washington, and Lavelle Hawkins will likely be fighting for targets, limiting the upside of all three WRs. The Titans figure to remain a run focused offense, making their 3rd WR worth nothing more than a flier in deeper leagues.
TE Jared Cook, --- - Sleeper (undervalued)
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The 6-5, 250 pounder has the athleticism to create matchup mismatches and began to show his potential in the final month of the season when he topped 100 yards in 2 of the final 3 games. The South Carolina alum finished his 3rd NFL season with 49 catches for 759 yards and three touchdowns. Cook has above average ability after the catch and his 4th year could be a true breakout season if the final month of the 2011 season is any indication. Consider Cook a lower end TE1 in 12 team leagues, with the potential to emerge as an every week starter.
UPDATE: Cook is entering the final year of his rookie contract and the Titans have yet to approach him about an extension. He should be ultra motivated entering 2012.
TE Craig Stevens, --- - Not Draft Worthy
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The Titans re-signed TE Craig Stevens to a four-year, $15 million contract this offseason (which could signal the end of Daniel Graham's tenure with the Titans). Stevens is simply a blocking option and not on the fantasy radar as he has just 20 catches for 288 yards over the past two seasons. The Titans also selected SMU TE Taylor Thompson with the No. 145 overall pick in the 2012 draft, but he is considered to be more of a receiving option.
TE Taylor Thompson, --- - Dynasty Only
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The Titans selected SMU TE Taylor Thompson with the No. 145 overall pick in the 2012 draft. Thompson was a two-time All-Conference USA selection as a defensive end, but is moving to TE. At 6'6/259 with a 4.56 40-yard dash and a 37-inch vertical, Thompson's measurables make him an intriguing option in deeper dynasty leagues. Starting TE Jared Cook is in the final year of his contract.
Tennessee - Quality Backup
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This unit finished 19th in fantasy production in 2011 and will have to deal with the loss of their best CB Cortland Finnegan (signed with St Louis). Tennessee generated just 28 sacks last season, but did sign DE Kamerion Wimbley (16 sacks in last two years). They spent a 2nd round pick on OLB Zach Brown (North Carolina) and 3rd rounder on DT Mike Martin (Michigan) - both players could start in their rookie season. The Titans boast one of the better special-teams units (five touchdowns in past two years), but their overall DEF/ST unit remains a matchup play at best in 12-14 team leagues.