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Fantasy NASCAR Preview: New Hampshire
Take the finishing order from the race earlier this year at New Hampshire and throw it out the window. Of the top 7 finishers, the highest driver in the point standings at that time was Martin Truex (who finished 4th) in 17th. The rain shortened event did not allow the drivers who pitted to cycle back through, as track position became paramount once again. This weekend (if the event goes to the finish) we will have a different story entirely. I'm predicting three of the top 10 finishers from the last event (Martin Truex, Denny Hamlin, and Jimmie Johnson) to finish in the top 10. That pretty much guarantees those guys to finish 30th or worse. Tony Stewart, #20 Home Depot Toyota, Gibbs RacingStewart was 3rd in this race last fall, and dominated in the last event here (leading 132 laps). He was relegated to a 13th place finish after taking four tires on the last stop. Despite another blow up at his crew last week when he finished 2nd after feeling like he should have won, he's a great pick for this weekend. Jimmie Johnson, #48 Lowe's Chevrolet, Hendrick Motor SportsThere is no hotter driver as the Chase starts. He was 9th in the June race, and had finishes of 5th and 6th at New Hampshire last year to go with a couple of career wins on his Magic Mile resume. He's a top level class A choice. Kevin Harvick, #29 Shell/Reeses/GM Chevrolet, Richard Childress RacingFrom 2005 to 2007, Harvick looked great at New Hampshire with the exception of a 17th place run last fall. He was 14th in the first race there; but again, those finishes don't matter. He led 54 laps and was in position for a top 5. Denny Hamlin, #11 FedEx Toyota, Gibbs RacingHamlin was 8th in the spring, and has finished outside the top 10 just once in five career starts. He's an excellent class A choice. Dale Earnhardt Jr, #88 AMP/National Guard Chevrolet, Hendrick MotorsportsEarnhardt finished 24th in the first race after getting run over by Jamie McMurray entering pit road. He did lead 29 laps, building on his strong runs from 2007 where he scored a top 5 and led the most laps in the first event. He should be set to run well this weekend. Jeff Gordon, #24 DuPont Chevrolet, Hendrick Motor SportsGordon was 11th in the June race, ending his three straight finishes of 3rd or better at New Hampshire. He has 3 career wins there (4 without Robbie Gordon punting him back in 2001). He's another guy that is looking to get on the board quickly in the Chase. Jeff Burton, #31 AT&T Mobility Chevrolet, Richard Childress RacingBurton has such a storied history at New Hampshire, including 4 wins (most of any active driver) and an amazing run where he led all 300 laps. However, his last 5 finishes have been 12th, 7th, 7th, 7th, and 18th. Many drivers in the A group have a better shot to win. Clint Bowyer, #07 Jack Daniel's Chevrolet, Richard Childress RacingIn this race last year, Bowyer led 222 out of 300 laps and won. After barely squeaking into the Chase, he's in position to gain some momentum with another run like that this weekend. The downside: that win is his only top 10 in five starts at New Hampshire. Kyle Busch, #18 M & M's Toyota, Gibbs RacingBusch did have a top 5 on this track last season, but overall is just so much more valuable from a fantasy standpoint on six or seven of the other remaining tracks. I wouldn't recommend using him, but would like a disclaimer because he is always a threat to win. Kurt Busch, #2 Miller Lite Dodge, Penske Racing SouthBusch did actually win the last race here, as he was strong enough to maintain the track position he inherited. He wasn't overly impressive passing people, and had miserable results at New Hampshire last year. He has a solid history, including a season sweep in 2004 followed by a 2nd place result in 2005. There are definitely better class A options this weekend.
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