NASCAR Picks for Bristol
Greg Biffle, #16 3M/Bondo, Roush Fenway Racing [Yahoo Class B]
Although his 12.5 average finish in the last 20 races at Bristol is the fifth-best in the series, Biffle hasn't been performing up to his typical standards at the track lately. He has failed to crack the top 10 in his last four starts at Bristol and has posted an 18.5 average finish during the stretch.
Ryan Newman, #39 Quicken Loans/Haas Automation, Stewart-Haas Racing [Yahoo Class B]
In the past 10 races at Bristol, Newman has been as consistent as just about any driver out there. He has eight finishes of 12th or better during the stretch and has finished outside the top 20 only once. Granted, Newman doesn't have any top-five finishes during the same 10 races. While he may not carry a team, he should make a solid addition to fantasy rosters.
Carl Edwards, #99 Fastenal/Aflac/UPS/Subway, Roush Fenway Racing [Yahoo Class B]
With two wins under the lights, Edwards is no stranger to winning the summer race at Bristol. However, he has struggled at the track since the start of last year, posting a 26.3 average finish in three starts at Bristol. His overall record at the track remains impressive, but the last three races make him a bit of a risk this weekend.
Paul Menard, #27 Menards, Richard Childress Racing [Yahoo Class B]
As far as sleeper options go this weekend, Menard may be the safest. After all, he has finished in the top 10 in four of his last five starts at Bristol, including three straight. Keep in mind that only two other drivers have finished in the top 10 in the last three races at the track.
Denny Hamlin, #11 FedEx, Joe Gibbs Racing [Yahoo Class A]
While he is the defending winner of this weekend's race, Hamlin has done little to inspire the confidence of fantasy owners lately. He has been mired in a terrible slump, and when the series visited Bristol in March, he finished 23rd. Hamlin just isn't performing at the level fantasy owners are used to, and his value has plummeted, especially in Yahoo! leagues.
Mark Martin, #14 Bass Pro Shops/Mobil 1, Stewart-Haas Racing [Yahoo Class B]
With Tony Stewart out the remainder of the year, Martin will be in the No. 14 for 12 of the final 13 races, beginning this weekend at Bristol. The veteran hasn't raced at the track since 2011, and in his last six starts at the track, he has three top-12 finishes and three finishes outside the top 20. Martin certainly has top-15 potential this weekend, but fantasy owners may want to let him get his feet wet with his new team before adding him to rosters.
Joey Logano, #22 Shell-Pennzoil, Penske Racing [Yahoo Class B]
The good news is that Logano is definitely taking baby steps in the right direction at Bristol, and he has finished in the top 20 in his last four starts at the track. The bad news is that he only has one top-10 during the stretch, and he finished an unimpressive 17th at the track earlier this year. Logano has potential, but he just hasn't shown enough consistency or upside at the track to be considered a great fantasy play this weekend.
Jamie McMurray, #1 McDonald's/Cessna, Earnhardt Ganassi Racing [Yahoo Class B]
Bristol has been one of the few tracks where McMurray has been able to put up consistent results the past couple of years. In fact, he has finished 11th or better in six of his last eight starts at the bullring. McMurray also has three top-10s in his last four Bristol starts, so he has plenty of value as a sleeper pick this weekend.
Jeff Burton, #31 Caterpillar/Cheerios, Richard Childress Racing [Yahoo Class B]
Burton has been involved in wrecks in his last two starts at Bristol, but he has had much better cars than his two finishes outside the top 30 indicate. After all, he won at the track in 2008, and he has finished in the top 20 in seven of his last nine starts. Burton doesn't have a ton of upside, but he can land in the top 20 this weekend.
Marcos Ambrose, #9 Stanley/Dewalt Power Tools, Richard Petty Motorsports [Yahoo Class B]
The bullring has been one of Ambrose's best oval tracks, and Bristol has definitely been his best short track. In eight starts at Bristol, he has six top-20 finishes, include five top-15s. Ambrose actually finished fifth at the track last August, so he is a potentially productive sleeper option for owners willing to gamble a bit.
Juan Montoya, #42 Target, Earnhardt Ganassi Racing [Yahoo Class B]
In typical Montoya fashion he has been up and down at Bristol throughout his career. That being said, he does have two top-15s in his last three starts at the track, and Earnhardt Ganassi Racing has had a lot of success at Bristol lately. Fantasy owners could hit it big with Montoya this weekend, but his EGR teammate Jamie McMurray is a bit of a safer pick.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr., #17 Best Buy/Valvoline/Zest, Roush Fenway Racing [Yahoo Class C]
With only one Cup start at Bristol under his belt, it is tough to know what to expect out of Stenhouse this weekend. On the plus side, he did manage a 16th-place finish at the track in March. However, Roush Fenway Racing as a whole has been tailing off at Bristol, so Stenhouse may have already hit his ceiling. A regression this weekend wouldn't be a surprise.
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