agnosticrealist's Mock Draft (Round 1)

1 - KC: Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M
KC loves him, and QB is no longer a need as far as KC is concerned. Update: KC just released RT Eric Winston. This all but assures OT to be the pick.

2 - JAX: Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah
Rumor has it that his heart condition was caused by him losing weight rapidly while training for the combine. While not ideal, this is not uncommon and should become a non factor for him as long as he can maintain weight. It should be a non factor for NFL teams as well. DT is a huge need for Jacksonville, and Star is the star of his class at the position.

3 - OAK: Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida
There is speculation that Geno Smith could be the pick here, and it's possible, but unlikely. They'd love to trade out of this spot, but I don't think anyone is willing to pay the price. This pick will take the entire time allotment, but in the end, the Raiders will pick the guy they think can help out their defense the most, with a versatile pass rushing athlete who can play in any scheme. Floyd fits the bill and comes with a ridiculous amount of upside.

4 - PHI: Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon
Chip Kelly recently lauded Jordan. Many saw this as a smokescreen, and to an extent they're right. The Eagles were hoping for one of the DTs to fall into their laps, but it doesn't happen. I do, however, believe that Chip Kelly meant every word of his praise for Jordan. The Eagles are switching to a 3-4 defense, & they don't have the personel for it. Jordan just makes sense on so many levels, this seems like a no brainer pick.

5 - DET: Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan
Detroit was expecting to have to make a decision between Dee Milliner and Ezekiel Ansah, but Eric Fisher falls into their laps. Tackle isn't the biggest area of need for the Lions, but chances are Jeff Backus is playing his last year of football. The Lions scoop up their next homegrown franchise LT for the next decade to bookend with last year's 1st rounder Reilly Reif, who is expected to start at RT for the next decade.

6 - BUF: Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia
At this point in the draft I believe Buffalo will trade up to acquire Geno Smith before ARI. It makes sense for both teams. Cleveland still gets one of it's top 2 players left, and gains another pick, and Buffalo gets a franchise QB. We all know how much demand there is at the QB position, and though his talent may not warrant the 6th pick, Buffalo will be ok with it. The Bills GM, who is often open about his draft intentions, has said that they are considering a trade up for a franchise QB.

7 - ARI: Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma
The Cards wanted Geno Smith, but didn't want to give up a second round pick to move up one spot. OT is a huge need as well, and Lane Johnson is their man. Johnson had maybe the best combine performance at any position, He's big and extremely athletic, has immense upside, and his stock is soaring. ARI falls in love and reaches a bit to select who they believe will be their franchise LT and fills a huge hole in the process.

8 - CLE: Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama
Dee Milliner falls to Cleveland at number 8, and they still get the player that they wanted all along, Dee Milliner. Aside from Joe Hayden, the Browns have little CB depth. Milliner is the best CB in the draft, and is a day one starter across from Joe Hayden.

9 - NYJ: Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU
The Jets don't take long to turn their card in. They really need a pass rusher. Ansah fills a big need. He's a physical specimen and has the most upside of any play in the draft, only having know the game for three years. Word is he didn't even train for the combine, and still by far had one of the best performances. A track athlete who has the ideal size and speed for a prototypical NFL DE, Ansah is drawing comparisons to JPP.

10 - TEN: Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama
Maybe I'm reading too much into this, but apparently Chris Johnson and the Titans GM has a "good talk" recently. Last season, CJ blamed the OL for much of his shortcomings, and there were reports that he wanted out. All that was squashed after this meeting apparently. Was he told OL would be a focus of FA and the draft? Maybe not, but Chance Warmack is the best player on the board and fills a big need for TEN. Even if I'm nuts, the Titans still need 2 starting guards. OL is a near lock.

11 - SD: Jonathan Cooper, OG, North Carolina
San Diego's offensive line is in shambles. They would prefer to trade down for more picks, but if that doesn't happen, they'll have no problem using the 11th pick on Jonathan Cooper. Considered one of the top prospect in the draft, Cooper is an immediate and long time starter for them at LG. He fills a huge need, and is the best player on the board. Many people will balk at the idea of 2 guards being selected so high, but both of them are top notch NFL starting material, warranting a high 1st rd

12 - MIA: Cordarrelle Patterson, WR, Tennessee
The Dolphins will take no time turning in their card. They need weapons for Tannehill, and Patterson is the top rated WR in the draft. His size and athleticism has drawn comparisons to Julio Jones, though his game is not nearly as polished. He'll take some time to grow, but he has all the physical tools and a ton of upside.

13 - TB: Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State
TB fills a huge position of need at CB with this pick. If their in state scouting department is worth anything at all, they're very familiar with Xavier Rhodes. He's been a projected first rounder who fell a bit due to an injury where he missed a few games. He's healthy now and really rehabbed his stock at the combine. Rhodes has the makings to be a top NFL corner with great man coverage and run support skills.

14 - CAR: Sheldon Richardson, DT, Missouri
Steve Smith has lobbied for him. DT is a huge position of need. He's a monster pass rusher, and is the only guy that really makes sense for them at this pick, from a needs standpoint.

15 - NO: Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU
NO needs a pass rusher, and Mingo is a perfect fit. His versatility will be a boost for a struggling NO defense, and is a great value at number 15.

16 - STL: Kenny Vaccaro, SS, Texas
Really, the Rams could pick anyone here and it would probably be an upgrade. They have holes at every position. The Rams brass has openly discussed a need to address the safety position this offseason. Vaccaro is the best way to do this be it FA or the draft. He's the consensus top rated safety in the draft, and would be an immediate starter on the Rams putrid secondary.

17 - PIT: Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia
Pittsburg is thrilled to select Jarvis Jones with the 17th overall pick. Every year they prove they are smarter than everyone else, and get top end value out of their picks. This year is no different. Jones is football player. He's the whole package, minus one injury concern. It won't bother the Steelers.

18 - SF: Tavon Austin, WR, West Virginia
The Cowboys have seen all of their top prospects selected. They expected to draft Lane J, 1 of 2 Guards or Vaccaro. Now, Dallas' biggest needs don't line up with the top prospects, and trading down will appeal to JJ. The 49ers have 15 picks, with no possible way the late rounders will make the squad. They give up 31, 61, and several late rounders to get a play maker. Austin is a perfect fit for the read option, and could be the difference SF needs to win it all. It's a luxury they can afford.

19 - NYG: Bjoern Werner, DE, Florida State
The Giants could sure use an OT right here, but they'll settle for the best player available. The Giants have repeatedly shown a willingness to draft talent over need, and there are question marks about their aging DEs outside of JPP. Werner would be a great depth signing, and could even win outright over Tuck or Osi(if he's resigned). This is a fantastic value pick for the NYG, as Werner is the most complete 4-3 DE in the draft.

20 - CHI: D.J. Fluker, OT, Alabama
How long will the Bears continue to ignore their OL? Until the 2013 draft, that's when. Fluker is projected only as a RT, and is much more of a mauler in the run game than a pass protector, but he has ideal build for a tackle. He'll start immediately, and will be a boon for Matt Forte and Jay Cutler. He needs a bit of development, but should still be a solid RT.

21 - CIN: Alec Ogletree, ILB, Georgia
There are some serious character concerns about Ogletree. Suspension, marijuana use, precombine DUI. He's perfect for Cincy. In reality, he's the best player available at arguably CIN's biggest area of need. He'd start day 1 over Rey, and fits in perfict with Burfict. A mean, nasty LB core is very desirable from CIN's point of view.

22 - STL: Keenan Allen, WR, California
STL used their first pick on defense, now they get a weapon for Sam Bradford with the pick acquired from WASH in the RGIII deal. Bill Polian recently compared Allen to Reggie Wayne, citing great route running and sharp cuts and breaks. They were hoping for Tavon Austin, but Allen is a very good football player, and should make an instant impact on the Rams.

23 - MIN: Johnathan Hankins, DT, Ohio State
Harvin wants to be traded and there are no other legitimate WRs on MIN's roster, yet there no WRs worth taking at this point. Minny will fill an area of need with the best DT left on the board with Hankins. He'll start next to Kevin Williams bolstering an already strong defensive front.

24 - IND: Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington
The best player available just happens to be a huge need for the Colts. Trufant had a great Senior Bowl and combine. He is a tenacious man to man defender who plays with a chip on his shoulder. He is a great value pick for the Colts, and will start day 1 opposite Vontae Davis

25 - SEA: Datone Jones, DE, UCLA
Seattle has proven it has no problems reaching for players they feel will fit their system. See: Bruce Irvin. Seattle has met with Jones several times already, fueling speculation that they'll use their first rounder on him. I don't think it's a smokescreen. Pass rushing DT is the one area they could really improve. Jones is a size/speed/strength specimen, who would be perfect playing end on early downs, then move inside to rush the passer on passing downs.

26 - GB: Damontre Moore, DE, Texas A&M
I think this is a good spot for Moore. A poor combine showing, mixed reviews, and rumors of poor work ethic have accompanied Moore's drop from the top 5, but Green Bay gets a great value pick at a position of need. With added bulk, Moore could play DE, but he seems best suited as a 3-4 rush OLB. He might be a situational pass rusher until he can add some weight to his frame.

27 - HOU: Kevin Minter, ILB, LSU
This is almost too good of a fit. HOU needs help in a big way at ILB, and Minter is almost a no brainer. He'll be a productive player alongside Cushing.

28 - DEN: Johnthan Banks, CB, Mississippi State
I struggled with this pick. I think they are a trade back candidate if a team like ARI or OAK wants to trade up to secure Matt Barkley before someone like KC or JAX does. If they do not trade, a guy like Banks makes a lot of sense. He had a poor combine, but Champ is old and 2 of the other 3 are FAs. Champ can groom his replacement for a season before throwing in the towel. Banks has ideal size, but a poor combine and an injury history has hurt his stock a bit.

29 - NE: Justin Hunter, WR, Tennessee
NE is always a trade down candidate. If DEN doesn't trade out, NE might. It seems as if WR has been a need for the Patriots since Moss left. Justin Hunter put on a display at the combine. He's a big receiver with big hands and great ball skills, who would be a perfect addition to the Pats offense. His route running needs serious work and some might consider this a reach, but Hunter has about as much upside as any WR in the draft and would fill a big need.

30 - ATL: Tyler Eifert, TE, Notre Dame
Eifert has been the top rated player on the board for a while now, but TE is rarely a first round priority. Eifert is the clear top TE in the draft, and with Tony Gonzalez likely retiring, Eifert could step in with little fall off in terms of production, and would be a another big target for Matt Ryan on a team of big targets. If Eifert is available, I can't see him falling past ATL.

31 - DAL: Jonathan Cyprien, SS, Florida International
Dallas traded with SF for the 31st and 62st plus several later rounder. Dallas needs safety help in a big way. Cyprien has been shooting up draft boards since the Senior Bowl, and is considered by most to be the second best safety in the draft. Dallas still fills a big need and gets a starting safety. Reid and Elam are also considerations.

32 - BAL: Arthur Brown, ILB, Kansas State
Many people have Manti Teo mocked here, but I just can't see BAL replacing their emotional leader with an emotional wreck. Not with a first round pick. Arthur Brown is a bit undersized, but he has elite instincts, and plays much bigger than he is. As a 2 time team captain, Brown coaches rave about his work ethic and discipline. Brown will benefit from an NFL weight room, and could end up being a steal here at 32 a few years down the road. He's a great candidate to replace Rey Lewis.