Ray Rice, RB, Ravens
|RB - #27||79.40||BAL||Active||7 years||27||5'8||212||@RayRice27|
2014 Outlook: Gamble (high risk)Last updated on Jul-02-2014 by Rob Warner
With a potential four-game suspension looming and coming off the worst season of his career, Rice's fantasy stock appears to be in free-fall. In 2013, Rice had 214 carries for just 660 yards (44 ypg) and four touchdowns. The offensive line didn't do him any favors as they ranked 24th in run blocking, according to ProFootballFocus. Rice remained a better PPR option as he topped 55 catches for the fifth-straight season (58 catches for 321 yards last season). From 2009 to 2012, Rice averaged 277 carries for 1,267 and 69 catches for 610 yards as one of the more productive backs in the league. Offseason reports suggest Rice looks lighter on his feet after shedding 20 pounds and is down to around 205 (weighed 200 pounds at the 2008 combine). The addition of offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak should help the Ravens' ground game after they produced a league-worst 3.1 yards per carry last season. In more than half of his NFL seasons as a head coach or offensive coordinator, Kubiak's rushing units have ranked in the Top 5 in rushing yards. Rice's current ADP (RB24, 68.34) places him as a low RB2 or flex. He could prove to be a risk worth taking, especially in PPR formats, provided he can put the lost 2013 season behind him.
Editor's note: Things are often never as great as we think they may be and never as bad. This outlook consolidates my opinion of Rice. It can't be understated how poor the Ravens' offensive line performed in 2013. A run-oriented team, which was once able to impose its will, was forced to pass more often despite their inability to fully replace the departed Anquan Boldin and an injured Dennis Pitta. So what does this have to do with Rice? As his teammates improve and the offense rediscovers its balance under Kubiak, Rice should rebound once he's back in the starting lineup. Unfortunately, his ADP offers little wiggle room for value, especially if Rice is forced to miss four games. Maybe after the suspension is announced, his draft position will fall and offer more value to fantasy owners.
Mike Preston, a Ravens insider for The Baltimore Sun reports Ray Rice is 'looking good' during training camp. Preston says, "He had two long runs Saturday where he looked like the Rice of old. He never had great speed, but his cuts were excellent." Rice had a very bad season in 2013, averaging 3.1 yards a game. Before that, however, he racked in four straight seasons of 1,100+ rushing yards. Rice is currently facing a suspension that will leave him unable to play in the Ravens Week 1 and Week 2 matchups.
Personal issues aside, Rice is the lone running back on the Ravens with superstar potential. He has already shown what he can do in 2009 to 2012. During that span no one questioned him as first round draft talent. I still believe Rice is in a position to succeed. He has a lot to prove and is being undervalued and underestimated. I would not be surprised to see Rice come back to his old self this season. With an ADP nearing 60, I have no trouble drafting Rice when the time comes. He is easily an RB2 with major upside.
FFToolbox NFL News & Rumors7/29 - Ravens RB Ray Rice 'looking good' in training camp
7/24 - Ravens RB Ray Rice to receive two-game suspension
7/22 - Ravens RB Bernard Pierce cleared for camp
7/22 - Ravens notes: QB Joe Flacco gaining comfort; hope RB Ray Rice's suspension comes soon
Latest References to Ray Rice on FFToolbox:
2013 Mock Draft Results
2013 FFToolbox Staff Mock Draft #1
June 18th, 2013
|1.04||FFToolbox - George Bissell|
2013 FFToolbox Expert Mock Draft #2
July 2nd 2013
|1.12||KFFSC - I was surprised Rice fell this far. He's still the #1 back for the Ravens and a great pass catcher. Pierce may take some touches, but not enough to make Rice anything less than a top 10 RB. He still has top 3 potential. I'd like to draft Pierce as a handcuff but his price may be higher than I'm willing to pay.|
2013 FFToolbox Expert Mock Draft #1
June 25th, 2013
|1.11||World Fantasy Rankings #4 - Before the draft, I was thinking about a WR here. Once 4 in a row were taken before me, I saw value in Ray Rice and got a workhorse. With Boldin gone, everyone assumes Pitta will be the beneficiary. While I believe Pitta will benefit, I believe Ray Rice benefits the most with underneath "dumpers" as I call them.|
2013 FFToolbox Expert Mock Draft #3
July 9th, 2013
|1.09||World Ranked #20|
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